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2024-12-13 05:54:30

CITIC Jiantou interprets the Politburo meeting in December: it opens up the market's expectation of monetary easing space in 2025. CITIC Jiantou Research Report pointed out that there are six obvious expressions of the positive signal of the Politburo meeting in December: 1. "Implementing a more active and promising macro policy"; 2. "Stabilize the property market and stock market"; 3. "Strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustment"; 4. "We should vigorously boost consumption"; 5. "More active fiscal policy"; 6. "moderately loose monetary policy". The most concerned is the last expression, "moderately loose monetary policy". For most of the time, the Politburo used the word "steady" to describe the currency. This time, it adopted the rare "moderate easing", which opened the market's expectation for the monetary easing space in 2025. The "liquidity trap" recently discussed in the market does not apply to China, and monetary easing can solve a considerable part of the problem of weak domestic demand. From the perspective of trend, observing the future domestic demand trend of China, what needs to be tracked most is the currency. From the short-term emotional point of view, "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will become a short-term market trading point.Caitong Securities: It is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. According to Chen Xing, the macro chief analyst of Caitong Securities, from the current situation, the economic operation has been generally stable this year, and the key areas of risks have also been resolved in an orderly and effective manner. The meeting has confidence in this year's economic performance, and it is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. From the perspective of future deployment, first, the positive attitude is unprecedented. The meeting mentioned that the policy will be more active and promising, and on the basis of counter-cyclical adjustment, it emphasized that the intensity should be "extraordinary" to offset "external shocks". We will implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy. Second, pay more attention to the actual effect of policies, not only to strengthen the forward-looking, targeted and effective regulation at the macro level, but also to promote the effectiveness of landmark reform measures in specific measures. Third, pay more attention to systematicness, emphasize "system integration and coordination", improve the toolbox, lay a good policy "combination boxing" and stabilize expectations.Ramsden, deputy governor of the Bank of England: The relatively calm market conditions this year may lead to greater risks in the future; In view of the increasing uncertainty of the future, we must continue to be vigilant; We should monitor and evaluate the risks in the UK financial market and make use of our balance sheet when appropriate.


Market news: Mohammed Al Bashir will form a transitional government.Zhongtai Futures: Wu Xiuwei has been appointed as the joint company secretary, Zhongtai Futures (01461) announced that Wei Weifeng resigned as the joint company secretary of the company and the company's agent (legal process agent) for receiving legal process documents and notices in China and Hong Kong according to Part 16 of the Companies Ordinance, Chapter 622 of the Laws of Hong Kong, with effect from December 10, 2024. Wu Xiuwei has been appointed as the joint company secretary and legal representative, with effect from December 10, 2024.The third batch of CSI A 500 ETFs under Rongtong, Puyin AXA and Yongying was approved and will be released soon. Less than two weeks after the report, the third batch of CSI A 500 ETFs got the approval. The reporter learned from the industry that the CSI A500ETF of many fund companies, including Rongtong Fund, Puyin AXA Fund, Yongying Fund, Haifutong Fund and Galaxy Fund, got the approval. Previously, nine fund companies reported the product. So far, more than 50 Public Offering of Fund managers have reported 107 products related to the CSI A500 Index. After excluding the linked funds, 22 CSI A500ETF have been issued and listed, with a current market scale of nearly 220 billion; Twenty-two products in CSI A500 index increase products have been approved for issuance; In addition, nearly 20 CSI A500 index products have been approved.


Market news: Putin will extend the permission of some Russian companies not to consider voting by shareholders from unfriendly countries until the end of 2025.Guoguang Chain: The wholly-owned subsidiary plans to invest 260 million yuan to purchase assets. Guoguang Chain announced that the wholly-owned subsidiary Ganzhou Guoguang plans to set up a wholly-owned subsidiary in Ruijin City, Jiangxi Province. It is estimated that the total investment will not exceed 260 million yuan within 18 months, which will be mainly used to purchase the state-owned land use right owned by Ganzhou Shuofeng Real Estate Co., Ltd. and the projects under construction, civil decoration projects, equipment purchase, start-up expenses, laying liquidity and so on. Among them, it is planned to purchase the underlying assets in cash of 115 million yuan.At least two people were killed when a fuel depot exploded in central Italy. On December 9, local time, a fuel depot exploded in the suburb of Florence in central Italy, killing at least two people and injuring eight others. The reporter at the reception desk was informed that the explosion caused a fire, but the fire was limited to the loading and unloading area of the fuel depot. The local civil defense department asked nearby residents to close their windows and stay away from the fuel depot area. After the explosion, some railway operations from Florence to Bologna were suspended, and the expressway exit near the fuel depot was closed in both directions. It is understood that the fuel depot belongs to Eni Group, a major Italian energy company.

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